Paul's Props and Touchdowns: 2025 Week 9 | Fantasy Points
Paul Kelly analyzes Fantasy Points projections to highlight notable discrepancies and identify the best player prop and touchdown bets.
Player Props Records by Year
- 2021: 75-47 (61.5%)
- 2022: 85-68 (55.6%)
- 2023: 79-59 (57.2%)
- 2024: 70-50 (58.3%)
- 2025: 32-18 (64.0%, +10.21 units)
Weekly Betting Approach
Every week, Paul shares recommended player prop bets based on discrepancies and "anytime" touchdown scorer picks. Week 8 marked the first losing week for props, but the goal is to rebound strong in Week 9.
Methodology Behind the Picks
To gain an edge over sportsbooks, Paul started by manually comparing John Hansen’s player projections to the odds offered by sportsbooks several years ago. He looked for the largest gaps between these numbers as prime betting opportunities.
"In the old days, I had to look up each prop myself. Now, our prop finder tool does that hard work for me."
Using this tool, Paul identifies the biggest discrepancies and then selects the best props, always seeking the most favorable odds across various sportsbooks.
Author's summary: Paul's systematic comparison of player projections to sportsbooks' odds reveals valuable betting opportunities, consistently producing solid results across multiple seasons.